1262 lines
239 KiB
Plaintext
1262 lines
239 KiB
Plaintext
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{
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"cells": [
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 1,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"using Plots\n",
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"gr()\n",
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"using DelimitedFiles"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 2,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"EVDdata = DelimitedFiles.readdlm(\"wikipediaEVDdatesconverted.csv\", ',')\n",
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"tvalsfromdata = EVDdata[:,1] \n",
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"totalcasesfromdata = EVDdata[:,2];"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 3,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"data": {
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"text/plain": [
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"updateSIR (generic function with 1 method)"
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]
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},
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"execution_count": 3,
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"metadata": {},
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"output_type": "execute_result"
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"function updateSIR(popnvector)\n",
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" susceptibles = popnvector[1];\n",
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" infecteds = popnvector[2];\n",
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" removeds = popnvector[3];\n",
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" newS = susceptibles - λ*susceptibles*infecteds*dt\n",
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" newI = infecteds + λ*susceptibles*infecteds*dt - γ*infecteds*dt\n",
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" newR = removeds + γ*infecteds*dt\n",
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" return [newS newI newR]\n",
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"end"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 14,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"# Values for the test run\n",
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"λ = 1.47*10^-6 #0.0005\n",
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"γ = 0.125\n",
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"dt = 0.5\n",
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"tfinal = 610\n",
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"s0 = 1.0*10^5 #150.0\n",
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"i0 = 20.\n",
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"r0 = 0.0;\n"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 15,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"nsteps = round(Int64,tfinal/dt)\n",
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"resultvals = Array{Float64}(undef,nsteps+1,3)\n",
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"timevec = Array{Float64}(undef,nsteps+1)\n",
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"resultvals[1,:] = [s0, i0, r0]\n",
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"timevec[1] = 0.;"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 16,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"for step = 1:nsteps\n",
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" resultvals[step+1,:] = updateSIR(resultvals[step,:])\n",
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" timevec[step+1] = timevec[step] + dt\n",
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"end"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 17,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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"ivals = resultvals[:,2];\n",
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"rvals = resultvals[:,3];\n",
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"cvals = ivals + rvals;"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 18,
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"metadata": {},
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{
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|||
|
" 410.769,1382.23 412.37,1382.12 413.971,1382.01 415.572,1381.9 417.174,1381.79 418.775,1381.68 420.376,1381.56 421.977,1381.45 423.579,1381.33 425.18,1381.21 \n",
|
|||
|
" 426.781,1381.09 428.383,1380.97 429.984,1380.85 431.585,1380.72 433.186,1380.6 434.788,1380.47 436.389,1380.34 437.99,1380.22 439.591,1380.09 441.193,1379.95 \n",
|
|||
|
" 442.794,1379.82 444.395,1379.69 445.997,1379.55 447.598,1379.41 449.199,1379.27 450.8,1379.13 452.402,1378.99 454.003,1378.85 455.604,1378.7 457.205,1378.55 \n",
|
|||
|
" 458.807,1378.4 460.408,1378.25 462.009,1378.1 463.61,1377.95 465.212,1377.79 466.813,1377.64 468.414,1377.48 470.016,1377.32 471.617,1377.16 473.218,1376.99 \n",
|
|||
|
" 474.819,1376.83 476.421,1376.66 478.022,1376.49 479.623,1376.32 481.224,1376.15 482.826,1375.97 484.427,1375.8 486.028,1375.62 487.63,1375.44 489.231,1375.26 \n",
|
|||
|
" 490.832,1375.07 492.433,1374.89 494.035,1374.7 495.636,1374.51 497.237,1374.32 498.838,1374.12 500.44,1373.92 502.041,1373.73 503.642,1373.53 505.243,1373.32 \n",
|
|||
|
" 506.845,1373.12 508.446,1372.91 510.047,1372.7 511.649,1372.49 513.25,1372.28 514.851,1372.06 516.452,1371.84 518.054,1371.62 519.655,1371.4 521.256,1371.17 \n",
|
|||
|
" 522.857,1370.94 524.459,1370.71 526.06,1370.48 527.661,1370.25 529.263,1370.01 530.864,1369.77 532.465,1369.52 534.066,1369.28 535.668,1369.03 537.269,1368.78 \n",
|
|||
|
" 538.87,1368.53 540.471,1368.27 542.073,1368.01 543.674,1367.75 545.275,1367.49 546.876,1367.22 548.478,1366.95 550.079,1366.67 551.68,1366.4 553.282,1366.12 \n",
|
|||
|
" 554.883,1365.84 556.484,1365.55 558.085,1365.27 559.687,1364.98 561.288,1364.68 562.889,1364.38 564.49,1364.08 566.092,1363.78 567.693,1363.48 569.294,1363.17 \n",
|
|||
|
" 570.896,1362.85 572.497,1362.54 574.098,1362.22 575.699,1361.89 577.301,1361.57 578.902,1361.24 580.503,1360.91 582.104,1360.57 583.706,1360.23 585.307,1359.88 \n",
|
|||
|
" 586.908,1359.54 588.509,1359.19 590.111,1358.83 591.712,1358.47 593.313,1358.11 594.915,1357.75 596.516,1357.38 598.117,1357 599.718,1356.62 601.32,1356.24 \n",
|
|||
|
" 602.921,1355.86 604.522,1355.47 606.123,1355.08 607.725,1354.68 609.326,1354.28 610.927,1353.87 612.529,1353.46 614.13,1353.05 615.731,1352.63 617.332,1352.21 \n",
|
|||
|
" 618.934,1351.78 620.535,1351.35 622.136,1350.91 623.737,1350.47 625.339,1350.03 626.94,1349.58 628.541,1349.12 630.142,1348.66 631.744,1348.2 633.345,1347.73 \n",
|
|||
|
" 634.946,1347.26 636.548,1346.78 638.149,1346.3 639.75,1345.81 641.351,1345.32 642.953,1344.82 644.554,1344.32 646.155,1343.81 647.756,1343.29 649.358,1342.78 \n",
|
|||
|
" 650.959,1342.25 652.56,1341.72 654.162,1341.19 655.763,1340.65 657.364,1340.11 658.965,1339.55 660.567,1339 662.168,1338.44 663.769,1337.87 665.37,1337.3 \n",
|
|||
|
" 666.972,1336.72 668.573,1336.13 670.174,1335.54 671.775,1334.95 673.377,1334.34 674.978,1333.74 676.579,1333.12 678.181,1332.5 679.782,1331.87 681.383,1331.24 \n",
|
|||
|
" 682.984,1330.6 684.586,1329.96 686.187,1329.31 687.788,1328.65 689.389,1327.98 690.991,1327.31 692.592,1326.63 694.193,1325.95 695.795,1325.26 697.396,1324.56 \n",
|
|||
|
" 698.997,1323.85 700.598,1323.14 702.2,1322.42 703.801,1321.7 705.402,1320.97 707.003,1320.23 708.605,1319.48 710.206,1318.72 711.807,1317.96 713.408,1317.19 \n",
|
|||
|
" 715.01,1316.42 716.611,1315.63 718.212,1314.84 719.814,1314.04 721.415,1313.24 723.016,1312.42 724.617,1311.6 726.219,1310.77 727.82,1309.93 729.421,1309.09 \n",
|
|||
|
" 731.022,1308.23 732.624,1307.37 734.225,1306.5 735.826,1305.62 737.428,1304.74 739.029,1303.84 740.63,1302.94 742.231,1302.03 743.833,1301.11 745.434,1300.18 \n",
|
|||
|
" 747.035,1299.24 748.636,1298.29 750.238,1297.34 751.839,1296.37 753.44,1295.4 755.041,1294.42 756.643,1293.43 758.244,1292.43 759.845,1291.42 761.447,1290.4 \n",
|
|||
|
" 763.048,1289.37 764.649,1288.34 766.25,1287.29 767.852,1286.24 769.453,1285.17 771.054,1284.09 772.655,1283.01 774.257,1281.92 775.858,1280.81 777.459,1279.7 \n",
|
|||
|
" 779.061,1278.57 780.662,1277.44 782.263,1276.3 783.864,1275.14 785.466,1273.98 787.067,1272.8 788.668,1271.62 790.269,1270.42 791.871,1269.22 793.472,1268 \n",
|
|||
|
" 795.073,1266.77 796.674,1265.54 798.276,1264.29 799.877,1263.03 801.478,1261.76 803.08,1260.48 804.681,1259.19 806.282,1257.88 807.883,1256.57 809.485,1255.24 \n",
|
|||
|
" 811.086,1253.91 812.687,1252.56 814.288,1251.2 815.89,1249.83 817.491,1248.45 819.092,1247.06 820.694,1245.65 822.295,1244.24 823.896,1242.81 825.497,1241.37 \n",
|
|||
|
" 827.099,1239.92 828.7,1238.46 830.301,1236.98 831.902,1235.49 833.504,1233.99 835.105,1232.48 836.706,1230.96 838.307,1229.42 839.909,1227.88 841.51,1226.32 \n",
|
|||
|
" 843.111,1224.74 844.713,1223.16 846.314,1221.56 847.915,1219.95 849.516,1218.33 851.118,1216.7 852.719,1215.05 854.32,1213.39 855.921,1211.72 857.523,1210.03 \n",
|
|||
|
" 859.124,1208.33 860.725,1206.62 862.327,1204.9 863.928,1203.16 865.529,1201.41 867.13,1199.65 868.732,1197.87 870.333,1196.09 871.934,1194.28 873.535,1192.47 \n",
|
|||
|
" 875.137,1190.64 876.738,1188.8 878.339,1186.95 879.94,1185.08 881.542,1183.2 883.143,1181.3 884.744,1179.39 886.346,1177.47 887.947,1175.54 889.548,1173.59 \n",
|
|||
|
" 891.149,1171.63 892.751,1169.65 894.352,1167.67 895.953,1165.66 897.554,1163.65 899.156,1161.62 900.757,1159.58 902.358,1157.52 903.96,1155.45 905.561,1153.37 \n",
|
|||
|
" 907.162,1151.27 908.763,1149.16 910.365,1147.04 911.966,1144.9 913.567,1142.75 915.168,1140.58 916.77,1138.4 918.371,1136.21 919.972,1134.01 921.573,1131.79 \n",
|
|||
|
" 923.175,1129.55 924.776,1127.31 926.377,1125.05 927.979,1122.78 929.58,1120.49 931.181,1118.19 932.782,1115.87 934.384,1113.55 935.985,1111.21 937.586,1108.85 \n",
|
|||
|
" 939.187,1106.48 940.789,1104.1 942.39,1101.71 943.991,1099.3 945.593,1096.88 947.194,1094.45 948.795,1092 950.396,1089.54 951.998,1087.07 953.599,1084.58 \n",
|
|||
|
" 955.2,1082.08 956.801,1079.57 958.403,1077.04 960.004,1074.5 961.605,1071.95 963.206,1069.39 964.808,1066.81 966.409,1064.22 968.01,1061.62 969.612,1059 \n",
|
|||
|
" 971.213,1056.38 972.814,1053.74 974.415,1051.09 976.017,1048.42 977.618,1045.75 979.219,1043.06 980.82,1040.36 982.422,1037.65 984.023,1034.92 985.624,1032.19 \n",
|
|||
|
" 987.226,1029.44 988.827,1026.68 990.428,1023.91 992.029,1021.13 993.631,1018.33 995.232,1015.53 996.833,1012.71 998.434,1009.89 1000.04,1007.05 1001.64,1004.2 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1003.24,1001.34 1004.84,998.473 1006.44,995.592 1008.04,992.702 1009.64,989.801 1011.24,986.89 1012.85,983.969 1014.45,981.038 1016.05,978.097 1017.65,975.147 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1019.25,972.187 1020.85,969.218 1022.45,966.239 1024.05,963.251 1025.66,960.255 1027.26,957.249 1028.86,954.235 1030.46,951.212 1032.06,948.18 1033.66,945.141 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1035.26,942.093 1036.86,939.037 1038.47,935.973 1040.07,932.901 1041.67,929.822 1043.27,926.735 1044.87,923.642 1046.47,920.541 1048.07,917.433 1049.68,914.318 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1051.28,911.196 1052.88,908.068 1054.48,904.934 1056.08,901.794 1057.68,898.647 1059.28,895.495 1060.88,892.337 1062.49,889.174 1064.09,886.005 1065.69,882.831 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1067.29,879.652 1068.89,876.468 1070.49,873.28 1072.09,870.087 1073.69,866.889 1075.3,863.688 1076.9,860.483 1078.5,857.273 1080.1,854.061 1081.7,850.845 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1083.3,847.625 1084.9,844.403 1086.5,841.177 1088.11,837.949 1089.71,834.719 1091.31,831.486 1092.91,828.251 1094.51,825.013 1096.11,821.775 1097.71,818.534 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1099.31,815.292 1100.92,812.049 1102.52,808.805 1104.12,805.56 1105.72,802.314 1107.32,799.067 1108.92,795.821 1110.52,792.574 1112.12,789.327 1113.73,786.08 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1115.33,782.834 1116.93,779.589 1118.53,776.344 1120.13,773.1 1121.73,769.857 1123.33,766.616 1124.93,763.376 1126.54,760.138 1128.14,756.901 1129.74,753.667 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1131.34,750.435 1132.94,747.205 1134.54,743.978 1136.14,740.753 1137.74,737.532 1139.35,734.313 1140.95,731.098 1142.55,727.886 1144.15,724.678 1145.75,721.474 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1147.35,718.273 1148.95,715.077 1150.55,711.885 1152.16,708.698 1153.76,705.515 1155.36,702.337 1156.96,699.164 1158.56,695.996 1160.16,692.833 1161.76,689.676 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1163.37,686.524 1164.97,683.378 1166.57,680.238 1168.17,677.104 1169.77,673.977 1171.37,670.855 1172.97,667.741 1174.57,664.633 1176.18,661.531 1177.78,658.437 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1179.38,655.35 1180.98,652.27 1182.58,649.198 1184.18,646.133 1185.78,643.076 1187.38,640.026 1188.99,636.985 1190.59,633.952 1192.19,630.927 1193.79,627.91 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1195.39,624.902 1196.99,621.902 1198.59,618.911 1200.19,615.929 1201.8,612.956 1203.4,609.992 1205,607.037 1206.6,604.092 1208.2,601.156 1209.8,598.23 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1211.4,595.313 1213,592.406 1214.61,589.509 1216.21,586.622 1217.81,583.745 1219.41,580.878 1221.01,578.021 1222.61,575.175 1224.21,572.34 1225.81,569.515 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1227.42,566.7 1229.02,563.897 1230.62,561.104 1232.22,558.322 1233.82,555.551 1235.42,552.792 1237.02,550.043 1238.62,547.306 1240.23,544.58 1241.83,541.865 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1243.43,539.162 1245.03,536.47 1246.63,533.79 1248.23,531.122 1249.83,528.466 1251.43,525.821 1253.04,523.188 1254.64,520.567 1256.24,517.958 1257.84,515.361 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1259.44,512.776 1261.04,510.204 1262.64,507.643 1264.25,505.095 1265.85,502.559 1267.45,500.035 1269.05,497.524 1270.65,495.025 1272.25,492.538 1273.85,490.064 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1275.45,487.603 1277.06,485.154 1278.66,482.718 1280.26,480.294 1281.86,477.883 1283.46,475.485 1285.06,473.099 1286.66,470.726 1288.26,468.366 1289.87,466.018 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1291.47,463.683 1293.07,461.362 1294.67,459.052 1296.27,456.756 1297.87,454.473 1299.47,452.202 1301.07,449.944 1302.68,447.699 1304.28,445.467 1305.88,443.248 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1307.48,441.042 1309.08,438.848 1310.68,436.668 1312.28,434.5 1313.88,432.345 1315.49,430.203 1317.09,428.074 1318.69,425.958 1320.29,423.855 1321.89,421.764 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1323.49,419.687 1325.09,417.622 1326.69,415.57 1328.3,413.53 1329.9,411.504 1331.5,409.49 1333.1,407.489 1334.7,405.501 1336.3,403.525 1337.9,401.562 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1339.5,399.612 1341.11,397.675 1342.71,395.75 1344.31,393.837 1345.91,391.938 1347.51,390.05 1349.11,388.176 1350.71,386.313 1352.31,384.463 1353.92,382.626 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1355.52,380.801 1357.12,378.988 1358.72,377.188 1360.32,375.4 1361.92,373.624 1363.52,371.861 1365.13,370.109 1366.73,368.37 1368.33,366.643 1369.93,364.928 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1371.53,363.225 1373.13,361.534 1374.73,359.855 1376.33,358.188 1377.94,356.532 1379.54,354.889 1381.14,353.257 1382.74,351.637 1384.34,350.029 1385.94,348.433 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1387.54,346.848 1389.14,345.274 1390.75,343.712 1392.35,342.162 1393.95,340.623 1395.55,339.095 1397.15,337.578 1398.75,336.073 1400.35,334.579 1401.95,333.097 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1403.56,331.625 1405.16,330.165 1406.76,328.715 1408.36,327.276 1409.96,325.849 1411.56,324.432 1413.16,323.026 1414.76,321.631 1416.37,320.246 1417.97,318.872 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1419.57,317.509 1421.17,316.156 1422.77,314.814 1424.37,313.482 1425.97,312.161 1427.57,310.85 1429.18,309.549 1430.78,308.258 1432.38,306.978 1433.98,305.708 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1435.58,304.447 1437.18,303.197 1438.78,301.957 1440.38,300.726 1441.99,299.505 1443.59,298.294 1445.19,297.093 1446.79,295.902 1448.39,294.72 1449.99,293.547 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1451.59,292.385 1453.19,291.231 1454.8,290.087 1456.4,288.952 1458,287.827 1459.6,286.71 1461.2,285.603 1462.8,284.505 1464.4,283.416 1466.01,282.336 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1467.61,281.265 1469.21,280.202 1470.81,279.149 1472.41,278.104 1474.01,277.068 1475.61,276.041 1477.21,275.022 1478.82,274.011 1480.42,273.01 1482.02,272.016 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1483.62,271.031 1485.22,270.054 1486.82,269.086 1488.42,268.125 1490.02,267.173 1491.63,266.229 1493.23,265.293 1494.83,264.365 1496.43,263.444 1498.03,262.532 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1499.63,261.627 1501.23,260.731 1502.83,259.841 1504.44,258.96 1506.04,258.086 1507.64,257.22 1509.24,256.361 1510.84,255.509 1512.44,254.665 1514.04,253.828 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1515.64,252.999 1517.25,252.176 1518.85,251.361 1520.45,250.553 1522.05,249.752 1523.65,248.958 1525.25,248.171 1526.85,247.391 1528.45,246.617 1530.06,245.851 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1531.66,245.091 1533.26,244.338 1534.86,243.591 1536.46,242.851 1538.06,242.118 1539.66,241.391 1541.26,240.67 1542.87,239.956 1544.47,239.249 1546.07,238.547 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1547.67,237.852 1549.27,237.163 1550.87,236.48 1552.47,235.803 1554.07,235.133 1555.68,234.468 1557.28,233.809 1558.88,233.157 1560.48,232.51 1562.08,231.868 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1563.68,231.233 1565.28,230.603 1566.88,229.979 1568.49,229.361 1570.09,228.748 1571.69,228.141 1573.29,227.539 1574.89,226.943 1576.49,226.352 1578.09,225.767 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1579.7,225.186 1581.3,224.611 1582.9,224.042 1584.5,223.477 1586.1,222.918 1587.7,222.364 1589.3,221.815 1590.9,221.27 1592.51,220.731 1594.11,220.197 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1595.71,219.668 1597.31,219.143 1598.91,218.623 1600.51,218.109 1602.11,217.598 1603.71,217.093 1605.32,216.592 1606.92,216.096 1608.52,215.604 1610.12,215.117 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1611.72,214.635 1613.32,214.157 1614.92,213.683 1616.52,213.214 1618.13,212.749 1619.73,212.288 1621.33,211.832 1622.93,211.379 1624.53,210.932 1626.13,210.488 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1627.73,210.048 1629.33,209.613 1630.94,209.181 1632.54,208.754 1634.14,208.33 1635.74,207.911 1637.34,207.495 1638.94,207.083 1640.54,206.675 1642.14,206.271 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1643.75,205.871 1645.35,205.475 1646.95,205.082 1648.55,204.693 1650.15,204.307 1651.75,203.925 1653.35,203.547 1654.95,203.173 1656.56,202.801 1658.16,202.434 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1659.76,202.07 1661.36,201.709 1662.96,201.351 1664.56,200.997 1666.16,200.647 1667.76,200.299 1669.37,199.955 1670.97,199.615 1672.57,199.277 1674.17,198.943 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1675.77,198.611 1677.37,198.283 1678.97,197.958 1680.58,197.636 1682.18,197.318 1683.78,197.002 1685.38,196.689 1686.98,196.379 1688.58,196.072 1690.18,195.768 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1691.78,195.467 1693.39,195.169 1694.99,194.874 1696.59,194.581 1698.19,194.291 1699.79,194.004 1701.39,193.72 1702.99,193.439 1704.59,193.16 1706.2,192.884 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1707.8,192.61 1709.4,192.339 1711,192.071 1712.6,191.805 1714.2,191.542 1715.8,191.281 1717.4,191.023 1719.01,190.767 1720.61,190.514 1722.21,190.263 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1723.81,190.014 1725.41,189.768 1727.01,189.525 1728.61,189.283 1730.21,189.044 1731.82,188.807 1733.42,188.573 1735.02,188.341 1736.62,188.111 1738.22,187.883 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1739.82,187.657 1741.42,187.434 1743.02,187.213 1744.63,186.994 1746.23,186.777 1747.83,186.562 1749.43,186.349 1751.03,186.138 1752.63,185.929 1754.23,185.723 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1755.83,185.518 1757.44,185.315 1759.04,185.114 1760.64,184.916 1762.24,184.719 1763.84,184.524 1765.44,184.33 1767.04,184.139 1768.64,183.95 1770.25,183.762 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1771.85,183.576 1773.45,183.392 1775.05,183.21 1776.65,183.03 1778.25,182.851 1779.85,182.674 1781.46,182.499 1783.06,182.325 1784.66,182.154 1786.26,181.983 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1787.86,181.815 1789.46,181.648 1791.06,181.483 1792.66,181.319 1794.27,181.157 1795.87,180.997 1797.47,180.838 1799.07,180.68 1800.67,180.525 1802.27,180.37 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1803.87,180.217 1805.47,180.066 1807.08,179.916 1808.68,179.768 1810.28,179.621 1811.88,179.475 1813.48,179.331 1815.08,179.189 1816.68,179.047 1818.28,178.907 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1819.89,178.769 1821.49,178.631 1823.09,178.496 1824.69,178.361 1826.29,178.228 1827.89,178.096 1829.49,177.965 1831.09,177.836 1832.7,177.708 1834.3,177.581 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1835.9,177.455 1837.5,177.331 1839.1,177.208 1840.7,177.086 1842.3,176.965 1843.9,176.845 1845.51,176.727 1847.11,176.61 1848.71,176.494 1850.31,176.379 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1851.91,176.265 1853.51,176.152 1855.11,176.041 1856.71,175.93 1858.32,175.821 1859.92,175.712 1861.52,175.605 1863.12,175.499 1864.72,175.393 1866.32,175.289 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1867.92,175.186 1869.52,175.084 1871.13,174.983 1872.73,174.883 1874.33,174.783 1875.93,174.685 1877.53,174.588 1879.13,174.492 1880.73,174.396 1882.34,174.302 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1883.94,174.208 1885.54,174.116 1887.14,174.024 1888.74,173.933 1890.34,173.844 1891.94,173.755 1893.54,173.666 1895.15,173.579 1896.75,173.493 1898.35,173.407 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1899.95,173.323 1901.55,173.239 1903.15,173.156 1904.75,173.074 1906.35,172.992 1907.96,172.912 1909.56,172.832 1911.16,172.753 1912.76,172.674 1914.36,172.597 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1915.96,172.52 1917.56,172.444 1919.16,172.369 1920.77,172.295 1922.37,172.221 1923.97,172.148 1925.57,172.076 1927.17,172.004 1928.77,171.933 1930.37,171.863 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1931.97,171.793 1933.58,171.725 1935.18,171.657 1936.78,171.589 1938.38,171.522 1939.98,171.456 1941.58,171.391 1943.18,171.326 1944.78,171.262 1946.39,171.198 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1947.99,171.135 1949.59,171.073 1951.19,171.011 1952.79,170.95 1954.39,170.89 1955.99,170.83 1957.59,170.771 1959.2,170.712 1960.8,170.654 1962.4,170.596 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1964,170.539 1965.6,170.483 1967.2,170.427 1968.8,170.372 1970.4,170.317 1972.01,170.263 1973.61,170.209 1975.21,170.156 1976.81,170.103 1978.41,170.051 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1980.01,169.999 1981.61,169.948 1983.21,169.898 1984.82,169.848 1986.42,169.798 1988.02,169.749 1989.62,169.7 1991.22,169.652 1992.82,169.605 1994.42,169.557 \n",
|
|||
|
" 1996.03,169.511 1997.63,169.464 1999.23,169.419 2000.83,169.373 2002.43,169.328 2004.03,169.284 2005.63,169.24 2007.23,169.196 2008.84,169.153 2010.44,169.11 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2012.04,169.068 2013.64,169.026 2015.24,168.985 2016.84,168.944 2018.44,168.903 2020.04,168.863 2021.65,168.823 2023.25,168.783 2024.85,168.744 2026.45,168.706 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2028.05,168.667 2029.65,168.63 2031.25,168.592 2032.85,168.555 2034.46,168.518 2036.06,168.482 2037.66,168.446 2039.26,168.41 2040.86,168.374 2042.46,168.339 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2044.06,168.305 2045.66,168.27 2047.27,168.236 2048.87,168.203 2050.47,168.169 2052.07,168.137 2053.67,168.104 2055.27,168.072 2056.87,168.04 2058.47,168.008 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2060.08,167.976 2061.68,167.945 2063.28,167.915 2064.88,167.884 2066.48,167.854 2068.08,167.824 2069.68,167.795 2071.28,167.765 2072.89,167.736 2074.49,167.708 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2076.09,167.679 2077.69,167.651 2079.29,167.623 2080.89,167.596 2082.49,167.568 2084.09,167.541 2085.7,167.515 2087.3,167.488 2088.9,167.462 2090.5,167.436 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2092.1,167.41 2093.7,167.385 2095.3,167.36 2096.91,167.335 2098.51,167.31 2100.11,167.285 2101.71,167.261 2103.31,167.237 2104.91,167.214 2106.51,167.19 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2108.11,167.167 2109.72,167.144 2111.32,167.121 2112.92,167.098 2114.52,167.076 2116.12,167.054 2117.72,167.032 2119.32,167.01 2120.92,166.989 2122.53,166.967 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2124.13,166.946 2125.73,166.926 2127.33,166.905 2128.93,166.884 2130.53,166.864 2132.13,166.844 2133.73,166.824 2135.34,166.805 2136.94,166.785 2138.54,166.766 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2140.14,166.747 2141.74,166.728 2143.34,166.709 2144.94,166.691 2146.54,166.673 2148.15,166.654 2149.75,166.636 2151.35,166.619 2152.95,166.601 2154.55,166.584 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2156.15,166.566 2157.75,166.549 2159.35,166.532 2160.96,166.516 2162.56,166.499 2164.16,166.483 2165.76,166.466 2167.36,166.45 2168.96,166.434 2170.56,166.419 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2172.16,166.403 2173.77,166.388 2175.37,166.372 2176.97,166.357 2178.57,166.342 2180.17,166.327 2181.77,166.313 2183.37,166.298 2184.97,166.284 2186.58,166.269 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2188.18,166.255 2189.78,166.241 2191.38,166.227 2192.98,166.214 2194.58,166.2 2196.18,166.187 2197.79,166.173 2199.39,166.16 2200.99,166.147 2202.59,166.134 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2204.19,166.121 2205.79,166.109 2207.39,166.096 2208.99,166.084 2210.6,166.071 2212.2,166.059 2213.8,166.047 2215.4,166.035 2217,166.024 2218.6,166.012 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2220.2,166 2221.8,165.989 2223.41,165.977 2225.01,165.966 2226.61,165.955 2228.21,165.944 2229.81,165.933 2231.41,165.922 2233.01,165.912 2234.61,165.901 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2236.22,165.891 2237.82,165.88 2239.42,165.87 2241.02,165.86 2242.62,165.85 2244.22,165.84 2245.82,165.83 2247.42,165.82 2249.03,165.811 2250.63,165.801 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2252.23,165.792 2253.83,165.782 2255.43,165.773 2257.03,165.764 2258.63,165.755 2260.23,165.746 2261.84,165.737 2263.44,165.728 2265.04,165.719 2266.64,165.71 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2268.24,165.702 2269.84,165.693 2271.44,165.685 2273.04,165.677 2274.65,165.668 2276.25,165.66 2277.85,165.652 2279.45,165.644 2281.05,165.636 2282.65,165.628 \n",
|
|||
|
" 2284.25,165.621 \n",
|
|||
|
" \"/>\n",
|
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|
"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"2293.86\" cy=\"160.256\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"2271.44\" cy=\"160.385\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"2082.49\" cy=\"174.91\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"2060.08\" cy=\"178.123\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"2037.66\" cy=\"181.251\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"2015.24\" cy=\"184.422\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1970.4\" cy=\"189.606\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1947.99\" cy=\"190.592\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1903.15\" cy=\"198.347\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1791.06\" cy=\"211.415\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1768.64\" cy=\"217.328\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1723.81\" cy=\"225.683\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1678.97\" cy=\"234.766\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1634.14\" cy=\"249.334\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1589.3\" cy=\"272.857\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1544.47\" cy=\"295.523\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1499.63\" cy=\"323.073\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1454.8\" cy=\"346.853\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1409.96\" cy=\"373.546\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1365.13\" cy=\"409.323\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1320.29\" cy=\"443.686\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1275.45\" cy=\"477.792\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1230.62\" cy=\"522.995\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1185.78\" cy=\"591.807\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1140.95\" cy=\"654.148\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1102.52\" cy=\"732.086\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1051.28\" cy=\"829.605\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"1006.44\" cy=\"962.601\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"984.023\" cy=\"1003.78\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"939.187\" cy=\"1080.09\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"894.352\" cy=\"1159.01\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"849.516\" cy=\"1230.26\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"801.478\" cy=\"1291.92\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"779.061\" cy=\"1308.63\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"747.035\" cy=\"1325.68\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"724.617\" cy=\"1335.79\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"695.795\" cy=\"1345.18\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"657.364\" cy=\"1353.88\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"609.326\" cy=\"1364.63\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"542.073\" cy=\"1374.01\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"494.035\" cy=\"1376.11\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"458.807\" cy=\"1377.01\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"404.364\" cy=\"1379.71\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"359.528\" cy=\"1381.68\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<circle clip-path=\"url(#clip5002)\" cx=\"330.705\" cy=\"1385.15\" r=\"14\" fill=\"#e26f46\" fill-rule=\"evenodd\" fill-opacity=\"1\" stroke=\"#000000\" stroke-opacity=\"1\" stroke-width=\"3.2\"/>\n",
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"<path clip-path=\"url(#clip5000)\" d=\"\n",
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},
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"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|||
|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|||
|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|||
|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|||
|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|||
|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|||
|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|||
|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
|
|||
|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
|
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n",
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|
"GKS: character ignored due to unicode error\n"
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|
]
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|
}
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|
],
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|
"source": [
|
|||
|
"plot(timevec,cvals,\n",
|
|||
|
" label = \"Model Values\",\n",
|
|||
|
" xlabel = \"Epidemic Day\",\n",
|
|||
|
" ylabel = \"Number of cases to date\",\n",
|
|||
|
" title = \"Model vs Data\"\n",
|
|||
|
")\n",
|
|||
|
"\n",
|
|||
|
"plot!(tvalsfromdata,totalcasesfromdata,\n",
|
|||
|
" legend=:right,\n",
|
|||
|
" line=:scatter,\n",
|
|||
|
" label=\"Reported number of cases\"\n",
|
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|
")"
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|
]
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|
},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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},
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"f(x) = 5 * x^2 + 3 * x - 20\n",
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"plot(f, -10:10) "
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},
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]
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},
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"execution_count": 20,
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"metadata": {},
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"output_type": "execute_result"
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}
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],
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"source": [
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"plot!(zero,-10,10)"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 21,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"data": {
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"text/plain": [
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"f (generic function with 1 method)"
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]
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},
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"execution_count": 21,
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"metadata": {},
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"output_type": "execute_result"
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}
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],
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"source": [
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|
"f(x) = -9*x^2 + 3*x + 6"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 22,
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"metadata": {},
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"outputs": [
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{
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"data": {
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"<defs>\n",
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" <clipPath id=\"clip6200\">\n",
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" <rect x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"2400\" height=\"1600\"/>\n",
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" </clipPath>\n",
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"</defs>\n",
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"</defs>\n",
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